Alpha Metallurgical Resources Stock Performance

AMR Stock  USD 182.69  9.24  5.33%   
The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.78, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Alpha Metallurgical's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Alpha Metallurgical is expected to be smaller as well. Alpha Metallurgical right now shows a risk of 3.18%. Please confirm Alpha Metallurgical semi variance, and the relationship between the treynor ratio and daily balance of power , to decide if Alpha Metallurgical will be following its price patterns.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Alpha Metallurgical Resources has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Even with relatively invariable primary indicators, Alpha Metallurgical is not utilizing all of its potentials. The newest stock price agitation, may contribute to short-term losses for the retail investors. ...more
Begin Period Cash Flow604.2 B
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-204 B

Alpha Metallurgical Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  18,451  in Alpha Metallurgical Resources on December 4, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (144.00) from holding Alpha Metallurgical Resources or give up 0.78% of portfolio value over 90 days. Alpha Metallurgical Resources is generating 0.0368% of daily returns assuming volatility of 3.1796% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 28% of stocks are less volatile than Alpha, and above 99% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Alpha Metallurgical is expected to generate 4.18 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 4.18 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.01 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.04 per unit of risk.

Alpha Metallurgical Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Alpha Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 182.69 90 days 182.69 
about 80.42
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Alpha Metallurgical to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 80.42 (This Alpha Metallurgical Resources probability density function shows the probability of Alpha Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Alpha Metallurgical has a beta of 0.78. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Alpha Metallurgical average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Alpha Metallurgical Resources will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Alpha Metallurgical Resources has an alpha of 3.0E-4, implying that it can generate a 2.94E-4 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Alpha Metallurgical Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Alpha Metallurgical

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Alpha Metallurgical. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
179.33182.51185.69
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
171.46174.64200.96
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
180.20183.38186.56
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
-5.19179.61188.85
Details

Alpha Metallurgical Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Alpha Metallurgical is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Alpha Metallurgical's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Alpha Metallurgical Resources, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Alpha Metallurgical within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.0003
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.78
σ
Overall volatility
22.84
Ir
Information ratio -0.0023

Alpha Metallurgical Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Alpha Metallurgical for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Alpha Metallurgical can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Alpha Metallurgical had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
The company reported the last year's revenue of 2.13 B. Reported Net Loss for the year was (61.69 B) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 204.79 M.
Over 90.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies

Alpha Metallurgical Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Alpha Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Alpha Metallurgical's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Alpha Metallurgical's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding13 M
Cash And Short Term Investments415.6 M

Alpha Metallurgical Fundamentals Growth

Alpha Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Alpha Metallurgical, and Alpha Metallurgical fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Alpha Stock performance.

About Alpha Metallurgical Performance

Assessing Alpha Metallurgical's fundamental ratios provides investors with valuable insights into Alpha Metallurgical's financial health and overall profitability. This information is crucial for making informed investment decisions. A high ROA would indicate that the Alpha Metallurgical is effectively leveraging its assets and equity to generate significant profits, making it an appealing investment. Conversely, low Return on Assets could signal underlying management issues in assets and equity, indicating a necessity for operational refinements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Alpha Metallurgical Resources, Inc., a mining company, produces, processes, and sells met and thermal coal in Virginia and West Virginia. Alpha Metallurgical Resources, Inc. was incorporated in 2016 and is headquartered in Bristol, Tennessee. Alpha Metallurgical operates under Coking Coal classification in the United States and is traded on New York Stock Exchange. It employs 3620 people.

Things to note about Alpha Metallurgical performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Alpha Metallurgical for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Alpha Metallurgical help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Alpha Metallurgical had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
The company reported the last year's revenue of 2.13 B. Reported Net Loss for the year was (61.69 B) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 204.79 M.
Over 90.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Evaluating Alpha Metallurgical's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Alpha Metallurgical's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Alpha Metallurgical's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Alpha Metallurgical's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Alpha Metallurgical's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Alpha Metallurgical's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Alpha Metallurgical's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Alpha Metallurgical's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Alpha Metallurgical's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Alpha Metallurgical's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Alpha Metallurgical's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Additional Tools for Alpha Stock Analysis

When running Alpha Metallurgical's price analysis, check to measure Alpha Metallurgical's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Alpha Metallurgical is operating at the current time. Most of Alpha Metallurgical's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Alpha Metallurgical's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Alpha Metallurgical's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Alpha Metallurgical to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.